According to @Andre_Dragosch, Granger causality tests show a statistically significant lead from gold to Bitcoin, with gold tending to lead BTC by approximately 4 to 7 months, source: Andre Dragosch on X, Jan 13, 2026. He also states that a capital rotation of roughly 1.7% from gold into Bitcoin could be sufficient to double BTC toward around 200,000 USD, source: Andre Dragosch on X, Jan 13, 2026. For traders, this analysis implies monitoring gold momentum and breakouts as a lead indicator for BTC positioning on a 4 to 7 month horizon and considering rotation flow sizing, source: Andre Dragosch on X, Jan 13, 2026.